Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#318
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#298
Pace92.1#2
Improvement+5.2#19

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#318
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.5#32

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#318
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.7#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2017 31   @ Virginia Tech L 93-132 2%     0 - 1 -24.1 +7.5 +7.5
  Nov 15, 2017 315   @ N.C. A&T L 73-92 38%     0 - 2 -25.5 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 18, 2017 246   @ High Point W 79-77 23%     1 - 2 +0.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 24, 2017 33   @ Florida St. L 78-113 2%     1 - 3 -20.2 +7.4 +7.4
  Dec 01, 2017 317   Marist L 91-100 61%     1 - 4 -21.6 -6.3 -6.3
  Dec 02, 2017 182   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-98 30%     1 - 5 -30.1 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 05, 2017 226   James Madison W 84-82 39%     2 - 5 -4.8 -3.4 -3.4
  Dec 14, 2017 235   @ Campbell L 77-87 21%     2 - 6 -11.2 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 19, 2017 17   @ Ohio St. L 65-94 1%     2 - 7 -11.8 +8.6 +8.6
  Dec 30, 2017 292   Western Carolina L 79-81 55%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -12.8 -5.4 -5.4
  Jan 04, 2018 95   @ Furman L 67-107 6%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -31.8 +4.1 +4.1
  Jan 06, 2018 146   @ Wofford L 92-109 10%     2 - 10 0 - 3 -12.9 +2.1 +2.1
  Jan 11, 2018 287   Samford L 91-107 54%     2 - 11 0 - 4 -26.5 -5.3 -5.3
  Jan 13, 2018 297   Chattanooga W 110-101 OT 56%     3 - 11 1 - 4 -2.1 -5.6 -5.6
  Jan 18, 2018 88   @ UNC Greensboro L 58-72 5%     3 - 12 1 - 5 -5.1 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 20, 2018 333   @ VMI L 81-88 48%     3 - 13 1 - 6 -16.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Jan 27, 2018 150   @ Mercer W 76-74 11%     4 - 13 2 - 6 +6.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 29, 2018 99   East Tennessee St. L 71-73 14%     4 - 14 2 - 7 +0.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 01, 2018 146   Wofford W 80-78 23%     5 - 14 3 - 7 +0.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 03, 2018 95   Furman W 100-92 OT 14%     6 - 14 4 - 7 +10.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Feb 08, 2018 297   @ Chattanooga L 82-85 33%     6 - 15 4 - 8 -8.1 -2.5 -2.5
  Feb 10, 2018 287   @ Samford L 103-116 31%     6 - 16 4 - 9 -17.5 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 15, 2018 88   UNC Greensboro L 66-82 12%     6 - 17 4 - 10 -13.2 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 17, 2018 333   VMI L 71-75 70%     6 - 18 4 - 11 -19.1 -7.6 -7.6
  Feb 20, 2018 99   @ East Tennessee St. W 84-82 6%     7 - 18 5 - 11 +10.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 23, 2018 150   Mercer L 70-83 23%     7 - 19 5 - 12 -15.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 25, 2018 292   @ Western Carolina L 75-92 32%     7 - 20 5 - 13 -21.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Mar 02, 2018 333   VMI W 78-70 59%     8 - 20 -4.1 -6.0 -6.0
  Mar 03, 2018 88   UNC Greensboro L 58-72 8%     8 - 21 -8.1 +2.9 +2.9
Projected Record 8.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%